Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.558984 0.617281 0.681511 0.757981 0.847135 0.948526 1.073615
2025-09-28 0.451360 0.527187 0.617845 0.736022 0.888770 1.083608 1.357952
2025-10-05 0.410636 0.499081 0.611274 0.767935 0.987785 1.296768 1.787220
2025-10-12 0.379263 0.475057 0.602248 0.789868 1.071791 1.502983 2.268055
2025-10-19 0.349281 0.447727 0.583156 0.791872 1.123688 1.669498 2.741416
2025-10-26 0.319100 0.416188 0.553387 0.772125 1.135822 1.771025 3.133231
2025-11-02 0.293210 0.387899 0.524715 0.749162 1.137035 1.851428 3.513744
2025-11-09 0.272603 0.365266 0.501873 0.731919 1.144077 1.942962 3.960561
2025-11-16 0.255214 0.345872 0.481952 0.716627 1.151357 2.035856 4.458710
2025-11-23 0.240527 0.329371 0.464952 0.704007 1.161077 2.135854 5.035229
2025-11-30 0.233251 0.323551 0.464238 0.719354 1.227465 2.381016 6.231301
2025-12-07 0.222482 0.311505 0.452306 0.712969 1.248301 2.523863 7.201891
2025-12-14 0.213207 0.301581 0.443691 0.712910 1.285364 2.728328 8.670154
2025-12-21 0.200569 0.285588 0.423787 0.689599 1.268084 2.783533 9.567895
2025-12-28 0.197745 0.285227 0.430476 0.718398 1.375144 3.239657 13.305290
2026-01-04 0.193654 0.282452 0.432626 0.738325 1.465813 3.693165 18.296180
2026-01-11 0.187221 0.275331 0.426398 0.740145 1.511534 4.019768 23.516918
2026-01-18 0.178553 0.263940 0.411600 0.722184 1.501926 4.139681 27.276799
2026-01-25 0.170127 0.252555 0.396114 0.701276 1.480986 4.209600 30.923554
2026-02-01 0.162969 0.243025 0.383517 0.685560 1.472150 4.329883 36.162715
2026-02-08 0.156517 0.234430 0.372173 0.671611 1.466240 4.464196 42.851972
2026-02-15 0.150782 0.226836 0.362295 0.660090 1.465713 4.627070 51.971196
2026-02-22 0.148461 0.225127 0.363528 0.674099 1.544821 5.228300 82.653443